Felgueiras 1932 2-2 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.39
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.43
6+ Goals
8%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.4pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+9.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -24%
1.67/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.22
-34% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses 19.5
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Felgueiras 1932
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
2.30 xG 1.99
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
100 Passes 337
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2024 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-3 HT 1-2 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR2
06.05.2023 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 0-2 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR3
16.04.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 4-1 HT 2-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Felgueiras 1932
2-2
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
2.71 xG 2.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
147 Passes 259
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Felgueiras 1932 vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 and Uniao De Leiria shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Uniao De Leiria at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 52% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 48%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.71 to 2.05.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Felgueiras 1932 and 2.33 for Uniao De Leiria.

What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Uniao De Leiria?

Felgueiras 1932 2-2 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 33%, draw 25%, Uniao De Leiria 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) ✗ BTTS No
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