Torreense 3-0 Paços De Ferreira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.83
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
13%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +17%
1.46/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.27
-29% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses 18.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.02 xG 1.09
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
408 Passes 364
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
09.03.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 2-0 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
28.10.2023 Torreense Torreense 1-2 HT 1-1 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
3-0
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
2.75 xG 0.27
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
343 Passes 138
83% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torreense vs Paços De Ferreira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense cruised past Paços De Ferreira 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Torreense as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Torreense had 65% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 35%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.75 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paços De Ferreira led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Torreense and 1.67 for Paços De Ferreira.

What was the final score of Torreense vs Paços De Ferreira?

Torreense 3-0 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs Paços De Ferreira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Torreense 41%, draw 25%, Paços De Ferreira 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torreense) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torreense) ✗ Under 2.5
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