Sarıyer 1-2 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.8
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
13%
5.0
X/2
7%
7.3
X/X
14%
5.3
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.1
2/2
16%
5.03
2/X
6%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarıyer EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
3.04/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.20
+3% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
16.3 Crosses 19.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarıyer
1W-1D-4L
AWAY İstanbulspor
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2025 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 6-0 HT 3-0 Sarıyer Sarıyer TÜK
09.05.2016 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Sarıyer Sarıyer S2-B
05.05.2016 Sarıyer Sarıyer 0-2 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor S2-B
27.03.2016 Sarıyer Sarıyer 0-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor S2-B
15.11.2015 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Sarıyer Sarıyer S2-B
21.03.2010 Sarıyer Sarıyer 0-1 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T2B2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarıyer
1-2
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.10 xG 1.99
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
302 Passes 366
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sarıyer vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor squeezed past Sarıyer 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sarıyer at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sarıyer had 47% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 53%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 1.10 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İstanbulspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sarıyer and 1.67 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Sarıyer vs İstanbulspor?

Sarıyer 1-2 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarıyer vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarıyer win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sarıyer 44%, draw 28%, İstanbulspor 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sarıyer), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sarıyer) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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