Serik Spor 0-1 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Dec 2025

Serik Spor
0-1 HT 0-1
Manisa FK
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Serik Spor vs Manisa FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 29% vs market 20.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.55
1/2
9%
27.0
1/X
4%
12.75
X/1
13%
5.78
X/2
13%
6.09
X/X
15%
5.12
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
16%
3.85
2/X
4%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.6pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Serik Spor v Manisa FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Serik Spor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 39%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.13/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.26
-25% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
8.0 Crosses 16.8
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Serik Spor 0-1 Manisa FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Serik Spor
0-1
AWAY Manisa FK
0.81 xG 0.97
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
399 Passes 237
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Serik Spor vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK squeezed past Serik Spor 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Manisa FK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Serik Spor had 59% of the ball to Manisa FK's 41%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 0.81 to 0.97.

What was the final score of Serik Spor vs Manisa FK?

Serik Spor 0-1 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Serik Spor vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Serik Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Serik Spor 40%, draw 23%, Manisa FK 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Serik Spor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Serik Spor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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