Amed SK 2-1 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.49
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 29% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.97
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
28%
4.09
X/2
7%
11.45
X/X
9%
5.57
2/1
7%
23.1
2/2
10%
9.47
2/X
7%
17.6
Value flag · X/1 at 4.09 — our 28% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amed SK EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
2.07/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.48
-11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
21.4 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amed SK
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.90 xG 0.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
272 Passes 322
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2025 Amed SK Amed SK 2-1 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
14.09.2024 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Amed SK Amed SK T1L
21.01.2016 Amed SK Amed SK 3-3 HT 1-3 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor TÜK
16.12.2015 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Amed SK Amed SK TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amed SK
2-1
AWAY Bandırmaspor
2.46 xG 2.01
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
347 Passes 338
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Amed SK vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amed SK edged past Bandırmaspor 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Amed SK as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Amed SK had 51% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 49%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 2.46 to 2.01.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Amed SK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Amed SK and 1.25 for Bandırmaspor.

What was the final score of Amed SK vs Bandırmaspor?

Amed SK 2-1 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amed SK vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Amed SK 56%, draw 23%, Bandırmaspor 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amed SK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amed SK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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