Antalyaspor 1-4 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 13 Dec 2025

Antalyaspor
1-4 HT 0-2
Galatasaray
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2025/2026

Antalyaspor vs Galatasaray Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
5.91
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
71%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
22%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
7.07
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.88 — our 30% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
11.6
1/2
5%
20.2
1/X
4%
20.25
X/1
3%
14.7
X/2
21%
4.02
X/X
9%
7.48
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
45%
1.67
2/X
4%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
14%
-2.7pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.8pp
71%
Away Win
67%
+4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.4pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Antalyaspor v Galatasaray — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 71%
-9% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
0.65/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.10
-42% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +26%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.3
14.5 Crosses 21.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Antalyaspor vs Galatasaray Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Galatasaray
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.82 xG 2.43
44% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
252 Passes 351
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.03.2025 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-0 HT 3-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
19.10.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-3 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
26.02.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 2-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
07.10.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
21.01.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
07.08.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL

Antalyaspor 1-4 Galatasaray — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
1-4
AWAY Galatasaray
1.34 xG 1.88
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
262 Passes 512
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
24 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray swept aside Antalyaspor 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 37% of the ball to Galatasaray's 63%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.34 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Antalyaspor and 2.33 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Galatasaray?

Antalyaspor 1-4 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 11%, draw 17%, Galatasaray 71%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ BTTS No
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