Vipers 3-1 BUL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 13 Dec 2025

Vipers
3-1 HT 0-0
BUL
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.56
Over
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
56%
Home Win
55%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vipers The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY BUL The Market 21%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +18%
1.45/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.12
-11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vipers
1W-2D-1L
AWAY BUL
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 Vipers Vipers 1-1 HT 1-1 BUL BUL UGA
01.05.2024 BUL BUL 1-0 HT 1-0 Vipers Vipers UGA
09.02.2022 BUL BUL 1-3 HT 1-2 Vipers Vipers UGA
08.01.2022 Vipers Vipers 1-1 HT 0-0 BUL BUL UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vipers
3-1
AWAY BUL
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vipers vs BUL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vipers got the better of BUL 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vipers as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vipers had 63% of the ball to BUL's 37%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Vipers and 1.00 for BUL.

What was the final score of Vipers vs BUL?

Vipers 3-1 BUL in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vipers vs BUL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Vipers 56%, draw 26%, BUL 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vipers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vipers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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