Real Sociedad II 2-2 Osasuna II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.89
6+ Goals
9%
18.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.58/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.62
+3% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.4 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad II
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Osasuna II
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
58% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
20.05.2023 Osasuna II Osasuna II 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
03.12.2022 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 0-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
23.11.2019 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 3-1 HT 2-1 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
07.08.2019 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 3-2 HT 0-1 Osasuna II Osasuna II HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad II
2-2
AWAY Osasuna II
2.23 xG 1.54
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
378 Passes 160
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad II vs Osasuna II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad II and Osasuna II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Sociedad II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Sociedad II had 60% of the ball to Osasuna II's 40%, shots finished 24-15, expected goals 2.23 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Real Sociedad II and 0.75 for Osasuna II.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad II vs Osasuna II?

Real Sociedad II 2-2 Osasuna II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad II vs Osasuna II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad II 48%, draw 26%, Osasuna II 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad II) ✗ Under 2.5
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