Arenas de Getxo 1-1 Utebo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Utebo EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.34/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.54
+22% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenas de Getxo
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Utebo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Utebo Utebo 0-2 HT 0-1 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
19.03.2023 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-0 HT 0-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
30.10.2022 Utebo Utebo 0-2 HT 0-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenas de Getxo
1-1
AWAY Utebo
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arenas de Getxo vs Utebo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenas de Getxo and Utebo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Arenas de Getxo had 51% of the ball to Utebo's 49%, shots finished 6-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arenas de Getxo had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arenas de Getxo and 0.00 for Utebo.

What was the final score of Arenas de Getxo vs Utebo?

Arenas de Getxo 1-1 Utebo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenas de Getxo vs Utebo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenas de Getxo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arenas de Getxo 38%, draw 30%, Utebo 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arenas de Getxo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arenas de Getxo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
14 Jan 2024
13:00 Formentera vs Europa Analysis →
13:30 Sevilla II vs Orihuela Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs Ursaria Analysis →
14:00 Mar Menor CF vs Antoniano Analysis →
14:00 Deportivo Alaves II vs Naxara Analysis →
14:00 Navalcarnero vs Cacereno Analysis →