Navalcarnero 0-2 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 39%
+11% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.18/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.80
+7% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Navalcarnero
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Cacereno
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 2-0 HT 1-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
29.01.2023 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-0 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
11.09.2022 Cacereno Cacereno 1-0 HT 0-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Navalcarnero
0-2
AWAY Cacereno
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Navalcarnero vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno got the better of Navalcarnero 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Cacereno made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Navalcarnero had 58% of the ball to Cacereno's 42%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cacereno led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Navalcarnero and 1.00 for Cacereno.

What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs Cacereno?

Navalcarnero 0-2 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 33%, draw 33%, Cacereno 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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