Deportivo Alaves II 5-1 Naxara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
79%
-15.4pp
21%
Draw
15%
+5.9pp
15%
Away Win
5%
+9.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.1pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxara EU Bookmakers 8%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.65/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.27
+10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
400 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Naxara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Naxara Naxara 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
5-1
AWAY Naxara
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs Naxara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves II swept aside Naxara 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Alaves II as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 66% of the ball to Naxara's 34%, shots finished 19-7.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Naxara?

Deportivo Alaves II 5-1 Naxara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Naxara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 64%, draw 21%, Naxara 15%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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