RC Deportivo Fabril 1-0 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.7pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +9%
1.19/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.95
+8% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Deportivo Fabril
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Aviles
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-2 HT 1-1 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Deportivo Fabril
1-0
AWAY Real Aviles
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RC Deportivo Fabril vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Deportivo Fabril squeezed past Real Aviles 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day RC Deportivo Fabril made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, RC Deportivo Fabril had 44% of the ball to Real Aviles's 56%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of RC Deportivo Fabril vs Real Aviles?

RC Deportivo Fabril 1-0 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Deportivo Fabril vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a RC Deportivo Fabril win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split RC Deportivo Fabril 36%, draw 30%, Real Aviles 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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