Compostela 0-2 Marino De Luanco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.51
Over
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Compostela EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 26%
+14% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.72/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.37
+25% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
324 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 182 · 60%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Compostela
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Marino De Luanco
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.09.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-0 HT 0-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
15.01.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-1 HT 1-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
06.03.2022 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-0 HT 0-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
17.10.2021 Compostela Compostela 1-1 HT 0-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
02.05.2021 Compostela Compostela 0-1 HT 0-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS3
19.01.2014 Compostela Compostela 2-1 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS3
POST-MATCH Compostela vs Marino De Luanco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marino De Luanco got the better of Compostela 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Compostela at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marino De Luanco led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Compostela and 0.83 for Marino De Luanco.

What was the final score of Compostela vs Marino De Luanco?

Compostela 0-2 Marino De Luanco in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Compostela vs Marino De Luanco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Compostela win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Compostela 46%, draw 26%, Marino De Luanco 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Compostela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Compostela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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