Estepona 0-2 Yeclano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
68%
1.52
Over
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.33
No
66%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2-3
38%
4-5
15%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
35%
-4.8pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.2pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
39%
-4.3pp
66%
BTTS No
61%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeclano The Market 37%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.12/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.95
+2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
216 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estepona
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Yeclano
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.09.2023 Yeclano Yeclano 1-0 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estepona
0-2
AWAY Yeclano
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Estepona vs Yeclano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeclano got the better of Estepona 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 32% / 38% — and on the day Yeclano made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Estepona had 61% of the ball to Yeclano's 39%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Estepona vs Yeclano?

Estepona 0-2 Yeclano in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs Yeclano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yeclano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Estepona 30%, draw 32%, Yeclano 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yeclano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yeclano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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