Izarra vs Gernika Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Izarra v Gernika — Team-Based Signals
Izarra vs Gernika Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Izarra
İS4
1-2
HT 1-1
Gernika
İS4
2-1
HT 1-1
Izarra
İS4
1-1
HT 0-0
Gernika
İS4
1-1
HT 0-1
Izarra
İS4
Izarra 2-2 Gernika — Actual Match Statistics
Izarra and Gernika shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Izarra at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Izarra had 50% of the ball to Gernika's 50%, shots finished 14-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gernika led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Izarra and 1.40 for Gernika.
What was the final score of Izarra vs Gernika?
Izarra 2-2 Gernika in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Izarra vs Gernika?
Before kick-off our model rated a Izarra win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Izarra 44%, draw 27%, Gernika 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.