Langreo 1-1 Guijuelo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.0pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Langreo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.63/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.02
+29% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Langreo
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Guijuelo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.09.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 2-0 HT 1-0 Langreo Langreo İS4
19.03.2023 Langreo Langreo 0-2 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
30.10.2022 Guijuelo Guijuelo 2-0 HT 2-0 Langreo Langreo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Langreo
1-1
AWAY Guijuelo
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Langreo vs Guijuelo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Langreo and Guijuelo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Langreo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Langreo had 48% of the ball to Guijuelo's 52%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guijuelo led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Langreo and 2.00 for Guijuelo.

What was the final score of Langreo vs Guijuelo?

Langreo 1-1 Guijuelo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Langreo vs Guijuelo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Langreo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Langreo 44%, draw 31%, Guijuelo 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Langreo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Langreo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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