Pena Deportiva 3-1 UD Alzira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Alzira EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.19/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.49
-6% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
231 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pena Deportiva
2W-1D-0L
AWAY UD Alzira
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 UD Alzira UD Alzira 0-0 HT 0-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
05.03.2023 UD Alzira UD Alzira 1-2 HT 0-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
16.10.2022 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 2-1 HT 1-1 UD Alzira UD Alzira İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pena Deportiva
3-1
AWAY UD Alzira
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pena Deportiva vs UD Alzira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pena Deportiva saw off UD Alzira 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Pena Deportiva made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pena Deportiva had 49% of the ball to UD Alzira's 51%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pena Deportiva had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pena Deportiva and 0.67 for UD Alzira.

What was the final score of Pena Deportiva vs UD Alzira?

Pena Deportiva 3-1 UD Alzira in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pena Deportiva vs UD Alzira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pena Deportiva win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pena Deportiva 37%, draw 30%, UD Alzira 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pena Deportiva) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pena Deportiva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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