SS Reyes 2-1 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
2.01/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.22
+46% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Reyes
1W-0D-0L
AWAY CD Guadalajara
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 1-2 HT 1-1 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Reyes
2-1
AWAY CD Guadalajara
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SS Reyes vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Reyes edged past CD Guadalajara 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SS Reyes as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, SS Reyes had 41% of the ball to CD Guadalajara's 59%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of SS Reyes vs CD Guadalajara?

SS Reyes 2-1 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Reyes vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Reyes win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split SS Reyes 50%, draw 26%, CD Guadalajara 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Reyes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SS Reyes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
14 Jan 2024
13:00 Formentera vs Europa Analysis →
13:30 Sevilla II vs Orihuela Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs Ursaria Analysis →
14:00 Cayon vs Zamora CF Analysis →
14:00 Deportivo Alaves II vs Naxara Analysis →
14:00 Navalcarnero vs Cacereno Analysis →