Finn Harps 2-2 Derry City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
12.23
Draw
28%
7.13
Away
52%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
6%
+14.0pp
27%
Draw
12%
+15.5pp
52%
Away Win
82%
-29.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Derry City EU Bookmakers 85%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% /
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
223 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Derry City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.64 xG 1.12
40% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
149 Passes 356
57% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2022 Derry City Derry City 3-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
17.07.2022 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-2 HT 1-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
27.05.2022 Derry City Derry City 2-2 HT 1-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
09.04.2022 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-2 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
05.11.2021 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
10.09.2021 Derry City Derry City 2-2 HT 1-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
2-2
AWAY Derry City
27% Ball Possession 73%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Derry City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps and Derry City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Finn Harps had 27% of the ball to Derry City's 73%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Finn Harps and 2.00 for Derry City.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Derry City?

Finn Harps 2-2 Derry City in the Friendlies on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Derry City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 20%, draw 27%, Derry City 52%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Derry City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Derry City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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