Guatemala 0-1 İzlanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
55%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.46
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
24%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
55%
Away Win
49%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guatemala EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY İzlanda EU Bookmakers 53%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.71/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.69
-43% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +71%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.7
POST-MATCH Guatemala vs İzlanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İzlanda nicked a narrow win over Guatemala 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İzlanda as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Guatemala vs İzlanda?

Guatemala 0-1 İzlanda in the Friendlies on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guatemala vs İzlanda?

Before kick-off our model rated an İzlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Guatemala 20%, draw 25%, İzlanda 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İzlanda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İzlanda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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