Hansa Rostock 1-1 Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübeck EU Bookmakers 29%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-39% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Lübeck
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.79 xG 0.57
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 150
77% Pass Accuracy 60%
13 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 1-0 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AFK
22.05.2021 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-1 HT 1-1 Lübeck Lübeck AL3
03.03.2021 Lübeck Lübeck 1-0 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hansa Rostock and Lübeck couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hansa Rostock at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lübeck led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Hansa Rostock and 1.00 for Lübeck.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Lübeck?

Hansa Rostock 1-1 Lübeck in the Friendlies on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hansa Rostock win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 43%, draw 27%, Lübeck 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hansa Rostock), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hansa Rostock) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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