14/01/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Bidco United vs Police Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
46%
31%
Draw
28%
35%
Away Win
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bidco United v Police — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bidco United
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Police
EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+24%
/
-28%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
337 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
323 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Bidco United vs Police Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Bidco United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Police
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
19.12.2021
Police
3-0
HT 2-0
Bidco United
KEN2
3-0
HT 2-0
Bidco United
KEN2
POST-MATCH
Bidco United vs Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Police nicked a narrow win over Bidco United 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Police found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Bidco United vs Police?
Bidco United 0-1 Police in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bidco United vs Police?
Before kick-off our model rated an Police win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Bidco United 34%, draw 31%, Police 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Police), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Police)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
KEN
More Kenya - Premier League
14 Jan 2024