Wazito 0-1 Leopards SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
72%
-11.0pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.9pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wazito EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 14%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-64% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
460 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wazito
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Leopards SC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 11
16.09.2023 Leopards SC Leopards SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Wazito Wazito KEN
10.04.2022 Wazito Wazito 1-2 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wazito
0-1
AWAY Leopards SC
48% Ball Possession 52%
3 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Wazito vs Leopards SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leopards SC edged past Wazito 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Wazito at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Wazito had 48% of the ball to Leopards SC's 52%, shots finished 3-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Leopards SC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Wazito and 1.00 for Leopards SC.

What was the final score of Wazito vs Leopards SC?

Wazito 0-1 Leopards SC in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wazito vs Leopards SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wazito win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Wazito 61%, draw 24%, Leopards SC 15%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Wazito), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wazito) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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