14/01/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
Muranga All Stars vs Talanta Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
4%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
POST-MATCH
Muranga All Stars vs Talanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Talanta squeezed past Muranga All Stars 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Talanta as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Muranga All Stars vs Talanta?
Muranga All Stars 0-1 Talanta in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Muranga All Stars vs Talanta?
Before kick-off our model rated an Talanta win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Muranga All Stars 18%, draw 27%, Talanta 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talanta), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Talanta)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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KEN
More Kenya - Premier League
14 Jan 2024