Denizlispor 1-1 Amed Sportif — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-7.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denizlispor EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Amed Sportif EU Bookmakers 62%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/0.56
+4% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +38%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denizlispor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Amed Sportif
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
27.08.2023 Amed Sportif 2-0 HT 0-0 Denizlispor Denizlispor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Denizlispor
1-1
AWAY Amed Sportif
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Denizlispor vs Amed Sportif
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denizlispor and Amed Sportif couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Amed Sportif at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Denizlispor had 46% of the ball to Amed Sportif's 54%, shots finished 6-4.

What was the final score of Denizlispor vs Amed Sportif?

Denizlispor 1-1 Amed Sportif in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denizlispor vs Amed Sportif?

Before kick-off our model rated an Amed Sportif win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Denizlispor 24%, draw 25%, Amed Sportif 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Amed Sportif), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amed Sportif) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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