GMG Kastamonuspor 0-1 Etimesgut Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
67%
-7.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.8pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Etimesgut Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 15%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
2.02/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.70
+9% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Etimesgut Belediyespor
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Etimesgut Belediyespor 1-2 HT 1-1 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor S2-K
23.04.2023 Etimesgut Belediyespor 1-1 HT 0-1 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-K
20.11.2022 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Etimesgut Belediyespor T2L-K
24.03.2021 Etimesgut Belediyespor 5-0 HT 3-0 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-K
18.11.2020 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Etimesgut Belediyespor T2L-K
POST-MATCH GMG Kastamonuspor vs Etimesgut Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etimesgut Belediyespor squeezed past GMG Kastamonuspor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. GMG Kastamonuspor carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, GMG Kastamonuspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for GMG Kastamonuspor and 1.60 for Etimesgut Belediyespor.

What was the final score of GMG Kastamonuspor vs Etimesgut Belediyespor?

GMG Kastamonuspor 0-1 Etimesgut Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GMG Kastamonuspor vs Etimesgut Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split GMG Kastamonuspor 59%, draw 25%, Etimesgut Belediyespor 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
S2-K More Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup
14 Jan 2024
14:00 Somaspor vs Isparta 32 Spor Analysis →
14:00 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs İskenderunspor A.Ş. Analysis →
14:00 Denizlispor vs Amed Sportif Analysis →
14:00 Menemen FK vs Karaman Futbol Kulübü Analysis →
14:00 Düzcespor vs Uşak Spor Analysis →