Somaspor 0-1 Isparta 32 Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
19%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
34%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
49%
+7.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
19%
Away Win
25%
-6.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.2pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Somaspor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Isparta 32 Spor EU Bookmakers 29%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.72/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.27
+17% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Somaspor
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Isparta 32 Spor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Isparta 32 Spor Isparta 32 Spor 1-2 HT 0-2 Somaspor Somaspor S2-K
15.04.2023 Isparta 32 Spor Isparta 32 Spor 2-1 HT 1-0 Somaspor Somaspor S2-B
05.11.2022 Somaspor Somaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Isparta 32 Spor Isparta 32 Spor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Somaspor
0-1
AWAY Isparta 32 Spor
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Somaspor vs Isparta 32 Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isparta 32 Spor nicked a narrow win over Somaspor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Somaspor at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Somaspor had 50% of the ball to Isparta 32 Spor's 50%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Somaspor had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Somaspor and 1.00 for Isparta 32 Spor.

What was the final score of Somaspor vs Isparta 32 Spor?

Somaspor 0-1 Isparta 32 Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Somaspor vs Isparta 32 Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Somaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Somaspor 57%, draw 24%, Isparta 32 Spor 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Somaspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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