Leamington 1-4 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 14 Jan 2025

Leamington
1-4 HT 0-4
Chester
📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Leamington vs Chester Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.58
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leamington v Chester — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leamington EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 42%
+8% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
1.63/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.40
+24% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Leamington vs Chester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leamington
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Chester
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.03.2023 Leamington Leamington 0-0 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
12.11.2022 Chester Chester 1-1 HT 0-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
26.02.2022 Leamington Leamington 3-0 HT 1-0 Chester Chester İCON
04.12.2021 Chester Chester 2-1 HT 1-1 Leamington Leamington İCON
10.10.2020 Chester Chester 3-2 HT 2-1 Leamington Leamington İCON
18.01.2020 Leamington Leamington 0-0 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON

Leamington 1-4 Chester — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leamington
1-4
AWAY Chester
27% Ball Possession 73%
4 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Leamington vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester ran out comfortable winners over Leamington 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Chester found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leamington had 27% of the ball to Chester's 73%, shots finished 4-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leamington and 1.00 for Chester.

What was the final score of Leamington vs Chester?

Leamington 1-4 Chester in the England - Conference on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leamington vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leamington 31%, draw 29%, Chester 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chester) ✗ Under 2.5
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