Welling United 2-3 Hampton & Richmond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 14 Jan 2025

Welling United
2-3 HT 2-1
Hampton & Richmond
📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Welling United vs Hampton & Richmond Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 31% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Welling United v Hampton & Richmond — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welling United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.22/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.31
-7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
262 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Welling United vs Hampton & Richmond Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welling United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.03.2024 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-1 HT 1-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
30.01.2024 Welling United Welling United 2-1 HT 0-1 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
25.04.2023 Welling United Welling United 3-0 HT 0-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
08.10.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-1 HT 0-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
15.03.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 2-1 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
26.10.2021 Welling United Welling United 2-3 HT 2-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON

Welling United 2-3 Hampton & Richmond — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welling United
2-3
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Welling United vs Hampton & Richmond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hampton & Richmond nicked a narrow win over Welling United 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Hampton & Richmond made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Welling United had 34% of the ball to Hampton & Richmond's 66%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Welling United and 1.33 for Hampton & Richmond.

What was the final score of Welling United vs Hampton & Richmond?

Welling United 2-3 Hampton & Richmond in the England - Conference on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welling United vs Hampton & Richmond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hampton & Richmond win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Welling United 33%, draw 28%, Hampton & Richmond 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hampton & Richmond) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hampton & Richmond) ✗ Under 2.5
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