NorthEast United 1-1 FC Goa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 14 Jan 2025

NorthEast United
1-1 HT 0-0
FC Goa
📅14/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
India - Super League – 2024/2025

NorthEast United vs FC Goa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.61
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
10.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.05 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NorthEast United v FC Goa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NorthEast United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Goa EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.17/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.41
-8% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.8 Crosses 16.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

NorthEast United vs FC Goa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NorthEast United
1W-4D-1L
AWAY FC Goa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 1.78
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
182 Passes 412
65% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.10.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 3-3 HT 1-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
21.02.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 0-2 HT 0-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
29.12.2023 NorthEast United NorthEast United 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
15.01.2023 NorthEast United NorthEast United 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
17.12.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 2-1 HT 2-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
14.01.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 1-1 HT 1-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL

NorthEast United 1-1 FC Goa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NorthEast United
1-1
AWAY FC Goa
1.40 xG 0.58
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
174 Passes 251
61% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH NorthEast United vs FC Goa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NorthEast United and FC Goa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, NorthEast United had 46% of the ball to FC Goa's 54%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.40 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for NorthEast United and 1.50 for FC Goa.

What was the final score of NorthEast United vs FC Goa?

NorthEast United 1-1 FC Goa in the India - Super League on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NorthEast United vs FC Goa?

Before kick-off our model rated a NorthEast United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split NorthEast United 36%, draw 31%, FC Goa 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NorthEast United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NorthEast United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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