Almere City 1-3 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 14 Jan 2026

📅14/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
47%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.29
Over
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.48
No
44%
2.45
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.52
2-3
39%
1.88
4-5
26%
2.75
6+
13%
7.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Almere City The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar The Market 45%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
0.60 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.37
1.47 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.38
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Bad Defensevs comparable teams Great
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.0 Crosses 22.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almere City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Telstar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.23 xG 1.06
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
365 Passes 291
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2023 Telstar Telstar 0-1 HT 0-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
09.09.2022 Almere City Almere City 0-1 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
30.01.2022 Almere City Almere City 0-0 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
10.09.2021 Telstar Telstar 1-1 HT 0-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
12.04.2021 Almere City Almere City 1-1 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
11.12.2020 Telstar Telstar 2-3 HT 1-3 Almere City Almere City HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almere City
1-3
AWAY Telstar
2.07 xG 2.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
380 Passes 339
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Almere City vs Telstar
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Telstar took care of Almere City 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Telstar as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) landed.

On the day, Almere City had 52% of the ball to Telstar's 48%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.07 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almere City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Almere City and 0.83 for Telstar.

Almere City vs Telstar Result & Final Score

Almere City 1-3 Telstar in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Almere City vs Telstar Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Almere City 29%, draw 24%, Telstar 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Telstar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Telstar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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