Den Bosch 1-4 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 14 Jan 2026

📅14/01/2026 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
7.78
Draw
13%
5.71
Away Pick
78%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
4.0
Over
64%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.57
No
54%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
21%
9.25
2-3
36%
2.49
4-5
31%
2.27
6+
12%
3.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
5%
2/1
2%
2/2
50%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Den Bosch The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven The Market 81%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.51 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 2.28
3.86 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.86
Great Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Average Defensevs comparable teams Great
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
229 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 473 · 84%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.7
23.0 Crosses 22.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
1W-0D-4L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
03.08.2014 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HAZ
09.04.2005 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL
07.11.2004 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-3 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
07.04.2002 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-1 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
22.08.2001 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-2 HT 1-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
1-4
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
3.27 xG 3.06
34% Ball Possession 66%
19 Total Shots 20
9 Shots on Target 11
7 Corners 7
255 Passes 567
81% Pass Accuracy 91%
25 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 17
REVIEW Den Bosch vs PSV Eindhoven
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSV Eindhoven swept aside Den Bosch 4-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-4. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Den Bosch had 34% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 66%, shots finished 19-20, expected goals 3.27 to 3.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Den Bosch and 2.00 for PSV Eindhoven.

Den Bosch vs PSV Eindhoven Result & Final Score

Den Bosch 1-4 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Den Bosch vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 9%, draw 13%, PSV Eindhoven 78%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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