AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Prediction — Model Probabilities
AZ Alkmaar v Ajax — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
AZ Alkmaar 6-0 Ajax — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar dismantled Ajax 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
True to our pre-match read, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (55%) came in, both teams to score (57%) didn't.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 39% of the ball to Ajax's 61%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 3.24 to 0.33.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 0.67 for Ajax.
AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Result & Final Score
AZ Alkmaar 6-0 Ajax in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 42%, draw 27%, Ajax 31%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.