Al Gharraf 2-0 Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 14 Jan 2026

Al Gharraf
2-0 HT 0-0
Naft
📅14/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Gharraf vs Naft Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
36%
2.77
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.27
No
48%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.9pp
36%
Draw
33%
+3.6pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
40%
+11.8pp
48%
BTTS No
60%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Gharraf v Naft — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharraf EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft EU Bookmakers 40%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.00/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.22
-100% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
292 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Gharraf vs Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharraf beat Naft 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 36% / 31%) promised a tight game; Al Gharraf found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Gharraf vs Naft?

Al Gharraf 2-0 Naft in the Iraq - Premier League on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharraf vs Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al Gharraf 33%, draw 36%, Naft 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
14 Jan 2026
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