Al Najaf 2-4 Naft Maysan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 14 Jan 2026

📅14/01/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
22%
2.94
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.54
Over 2.5
48%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.5pp
23%
Draw
30%
-7.8pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 33%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.44/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.65
-62% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najaf
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Naft Maysan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
28.06.2025 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 3-1 HT 3-0 Al Najaf Al Najaf IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Najaf vs Naft Maysan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Maysan got the better of Al Najaf 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Naft Maysan made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Najaf vs Naft Maysan?

Al Najaf 2-4 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najaf vs Naft Maysan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najaf win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Najaf 41%, draw 23%, Naft Maysan 37%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Najaf) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
14 Jan 2026
15:00 Al Gharraf vs Naft Analysis →
15:00 Newroz vs Al Talaba Analysis →
15:00 Al Kahrabaa vs Zakho Analysis →
17:30 Al Minaa Basra vs Al Karkh Analysis →