Newroz 0-1 Al Talaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 14 Jan 2026

📅14/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.46
Draw
39%
2.94
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
26%
-7.1pp
39%
Draw
31%
+8.3pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Talaba EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.65/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.05
-38% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newroz
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Talaba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
14.03.2025 Al Talaba Al Talaba 3-1 HT 1-0 Newroz IRAK
15.02.2024 Newroz 1-2 Al Talaba Al Talaba IRAK
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Al Talaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Talaba nicked a narrow win over Newroz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (19% / 39% / 42%) promised a tight game; Al Talaba found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Talaba led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Newroz and 2.50 for Al Talaba.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Al Talaba?

Newroz 0-1 Al Talaba in the Iraq - Premier League on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Al Talaba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Talaba win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Newroz 19%, draw 39%, Al Talaba 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Talaba), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Talaba) ✓ Under 2.5
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