Police 1-1 TransMara Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 14 Jan 2026

Police
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
TransMara Sugar
📅14/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Police vs TransMara Sugar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
38%
2.63
Away
20%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
75%
Over
25%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
3.13
No
67%
1.31
Total Goals
0-1
48%
2-3
42%
4-5
9%
6+
1%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
26%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Police v TransMara Sugar — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Police The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY TransMara Sugar The Market 27%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.87 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.81
0.55 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.25
Weak Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
240 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4 Yellow Cards 2

Police vs TransMara Sugar Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Police
2W-0D-0L
AWAY TransMara Sugar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
1 Total Shots 0
1 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
The Meetings
26.01.2025 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar 0-1 HT 0-0 Police Police KEN
07.12.2024 Police Police 1-0 HT 1-0 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar KEN
REVIEW Police vs TransMara Sugar
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Police and TransMara Sugar shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

The preview numbers (42% / 38% / 20%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out. On goals, under 2.5 goals (75%) landed while no to both teams scoring (67%) missed.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Police had the better of it with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Police against 0.00 for TransMara Sugar.

Police vs TransMara Sugar Result & Final Score

Police 1 - 1 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Police vs TransMara Sugar Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Police 42%, draw 38%, TransMara Sugar 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Police), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Police) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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