TransMara Sugar vs Police Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
TransMara Sugar v Police — Team-Based Signals
TransMara Sugar vs Police Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
TransMara Sugar 0-1 Police — Actual Match Statistics
Police squeezed past TransMara Sugar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Police as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, TransMara Sugar had 50% of the ball to Police's 50%, shots finished 0-1.
What was the final score of TransMara Sugar vs Police?
TransMara Sugar 0-1 Police in the Kenya - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for TransMara Sugar vs Police?
Before kick-off our model rated an Police win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split TransMara Sugar 27%, draw 29%, Police 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Police), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.