Homeboyz 0-0 Gor Mahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

Homeboyz
0-0 HT 0-0
Gor Mahia
📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
24%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Homeboyz v Gor Mahia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.64/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.27
-23% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.0

Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homeboyz
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Gor Mahia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.11.2024 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 2-0 HT 1-0 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN
24.09.2023 Homeboyz Homeboyz 1-1 HT 0-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
18.12.2021 Homeboyz Homeboyz 2-1 HT 1-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN2
POST-MATCH Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homeboyz and Gor Mahia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Gor Mahia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Homeboyz and 1.33 for Gor Mahia.

What was the final score of Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia?

Homeboyz 0-0 Gor Mahia in the Kenya - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Homeboyz 28%, draw 31%, Gor Mahia 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gor Mahia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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