Sofapaka 0-1 Shabana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.54
Over 2.5
32%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.99
No
63%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+7.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
61%
+7.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
39%
-7.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
46%
-8.8pp
63%
BTTS No
54%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabana EU Bookmakers 37%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.15/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.50
+45% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sofapaka
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shabana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
23.10.2024 Shabana Shabana 0-1 HT 0-1 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sofapaka
0-1
AWAY Shabana
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sofapaka vs Shabana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabana nicked a narrow win over Sofapaka 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Shabana found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sofapaka had 50% of the ball to Shabana's 50%, shots finished 10-19.

What was the final score of Sofapaka vs Shabana?

Sofapaka 0-1 Shabana in the Kenya - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs Shabana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shabana win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 32%, draw 28%, Shabana 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shabana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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