Bandari 1-0 Nairobi City Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.4pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.2pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandari EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Nairobi City Stars EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.14/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.80
+0% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandari
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Nairobi City Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 0-1 HT 0-1 Bandari Bandari KEN
02.04.2022 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 2-1 HT 2-0 Bandari Bandari KEN2
17.03.2022 Bandari Bandari 1-0 HT 1-0 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars KEN2
POST-MATCH Bandari vs Nairobi City Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandari edged past Nairobi City Stars 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 27%) promised a tight game; Bandari found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bandari had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bandari and 0.67 for Nairobi City Stars.

What was the final score of Bandari vs Nairobi City Stars?

Bandari 1-0 Nairobi City Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandari vs Nairobi City Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandari win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bandari 40%, draw 32%, Nairobi City Stars 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandari), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bandari) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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