Gor Mahia 2-0 Homeboyz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.8pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 23%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.71/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.20
+43% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
440 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gor Mahia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Homeboyz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
1 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 3
24.09.2023 Homeboyz Homeboyz 1-1 HT 0-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
18.12.2021 Homeboyz Homeboyz 2-1 HT 1-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gor Mahia
2-0
AWAY Homeboyz
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gor Mahia vs Homeboyz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia saw off Homeboyz 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gor Mahia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Gor Mahia had 54% of the ball to Homeboyz's 46%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Homeboyz led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gor Mahia and 1.50 for Homeboyz.

What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Homeboyz?

Gor Mahia 2-0 Homeboyz in the Kenya - Premier League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Homeboyz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 45%, draw 31%, Homeboyz 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gor Mahia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KEN More Kenya - Premier League
27 Nov 2024
00:00 Bandari vs Kariobangi Sharks Analysis →
13:00 Mathare United vs Nairobi City Stars Analysis →
13:00 Talanta vs Ulinzi Stars Analysis →
14:00 Shabana vs Leopards SC Analysis →
15:00 Bidco United vs Posta Rangers Analysis →
16:00 Tusker vs TransMara Sugar Analysis →