Talanta 1-0 Ulinzi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talanta EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talanta
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.03.2022 Talanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN2
07.11.2021 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 2-2 HT 1-0 Talanta KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talanta
1-0
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Talanta vs Ulinzi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talanta squeezed past Ulinzi Stars 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 29%) promised a tight game; Talanta found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Talanta had 47% of the ball to Ulinzi Stars's 53%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Talanta and 1.00 for Ulinzi Stars.

What was the final score of Talanta vs Ulinzi Stars?

Talanta 1-0 Ulinzi Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talanta vs Ulinzi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talanta win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Talanta 40%, draw 30%, Ulinzi Stars 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talanta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Talanta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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