Tusker vs TransMara Sugar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tusker v TransMara Sugar — Team-Based Signals
Tusker 2-1 TransMara Sugar — Actual Match Statistics
Tusker nicked a narrow win over TransMara Sugar 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Tusker found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tusker had 51% of the ball to TransMara Sugar's 49%, shots finished 28-9.
What was the final score of Tusker vs TransMara Sugar?
Tusker 2-1 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tusker vs TransMara Sugar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tusker 39%, draw 28%, TransMara Sugar 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tusker) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.