27/11/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Bandari vs Kariobangi Sharks Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
25%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
51%
34%
Draw
28%
26%
Away Win
21%
71%
Under 2.5
67%
29%
Over 2.5
33%
31%
BTTS Yes
36%
69%
BTTS No
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bandari v Kariobangi Sharks — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bandari
EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kariobangi Sharks
EU Bookmakers 24%
-18% /
-18%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+9% /
+9%
0.32/0.68
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.02/1.02
-71%
/
-1%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+42%
/
-3%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
3
368 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
248 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Bandari vs Kariobangi Sharks Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Bandari
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Kariobangi Sharks
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
17.12.2021
Bandari
1-1
Kariobangi Sharks
KEN2
1-1
Kariobangi Sharks
KEN2
POST-MATCH
Bandari vs Kariobangi Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bandari beat Kariobangi Sharks 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 26%) promised a tight game; Bandari found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (69%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Bandari vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Bandari 2-0 Kariobangi Sharks in the Kenya - Premier League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bandari vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bandari win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bandari 39%, draw 34%, Kariobangi Sharks 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandari), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Bandari)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
KEN
More Kenya - Premier League
27 Nov 2024