Bidco United 1-3 Posta Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.9pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.6pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bidco United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Posta Rangers EU Bookmakers 24%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.68/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.00
-37% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bidco United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Posta Rangers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.04.2022 Bidco United Bidco United 1-1 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers KEN
POST-MATCH Bidco United vs Posta Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Posta Rangers saw off Bidco United 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bidco United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Bidco United vs Posta Rangers?

Bidco United 1-3 Posta Rangers in the Kenya - Premier League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bidco United vs Posta Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bidco United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bidco United 46%, draw 22%, Posta Rangers 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bidco United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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