Mathare United vs Nairobi City Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mathare United v Nairobi City Stars — Team-Based Signals
Mathare United vs Nairobi City Stars Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
Mathare United
KEN2
0-2
HT 0-2
Nairobi City Stars
KEN2
Mathare United 0-1 Nairobi City Stars — Actual Match Statistics
Nairobi City Stars edged past Mathare United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Nairobi City Stars found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Mathare United had 53% of the ball to Nairobi City Stars's 47%, shots finished 9-10.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nairobi City Stars led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Mathare United and 2.50 for Nairobi City Stars.
What was the final score of Mathare United vs Nairobi City Stars?
Mathare United 0-1 Nairobi City Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mathare United vs Nairobi City Stars?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mathare United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mathare United 37%, draw 31%, Nairobi City Stars 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mathare United) went the other way.