Gubbio 2-1 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
5.28
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gubbio EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
1.02/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.45
-21% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gubbio
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Pineto
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-2 HT 1-2 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
07.01.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-2 HT 1-2 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
01.09.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 1-1 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gubbio
2-1
AWAY Pineto
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gubbio vs Pineto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio edged past Pineto 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Gubbio made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gubbio had 57% of the ball to Pineto's 43%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gubbio had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gubbio and 1.00 for Pineto.

What was the final score of Gubbio vs Pineto?

Gubbio 2-1 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Pineto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 40%, draw 27%, Pineto 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gubbio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gubbio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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