Sibenik 1-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 14 Feb 2025

Sibenik
1-2 HT 0-0
Lokomotiva Zagreb
📅14/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2024/2025

Sibenik vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
19.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 33% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.2pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.0pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sibenik v Lokomotiva Zagreb — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.09/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.04
-30% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
250 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 71%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
15.8 Crosses 20.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Sibenik vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sibenik
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.62 xG 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
228 Passes 378
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.11.2024 Sibenik Sibenik 0-3 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
23.08.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-1 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
21.04.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
12.02.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 0-4 HT 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
07.10.2022 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
29.07.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 2-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR

Sibenik 1-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sibenik
1-2
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.03 xG 1.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
151 Passes 166
56% Pass Accuracy 62%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb nicked a narrow win over Sibenik 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Lokomotiva Zagreb made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sibenik had 51% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 49%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.03 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sibenik and 1.67 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Sibenik 1-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 32%, draw 33%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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