Newcastle United U21 3-6 Leicester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.5pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.3pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City U21 EU Bookmakers 45%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.06/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.73/1.63
+7% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.5 Crosses 19.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Leicester City U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.01.2024 Leicester City U21 Leicester City U21 2-2 HT 1-1 Newcastle United U21 Newcastle United U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United U21
3-6
AWAY Leicester City U21
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
381 Passes 296
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Newcastle United U21 vs Leicester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City U21 swept aside Newcastle United U21 6-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Leicester City U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Newcastle United U21 had 56% of the ball to Leicester City U21's 44%, shots finished 24-18.

What was the final score of Newcastle United U21 vs Leicester City U21?

Newcastle United U21 3-6 Leicester City U21 in the INGPL2 on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United U21 vs Leicester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leicester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United U21 33%, draw 28%, Leicester City U21 38%. The final score 3-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leicester City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leicester City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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